Meet Donald Brennan

Meet Donald Brennan from Brennan Realty Services on Vimeo.

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100 Clark Street – Land Value Estimate

100 Clark Street, Back in the Day.

As first reported by the good folks over on Brooklyn Heights Blog yesterday (via an announcement from the selling brokerage Massey Knakal Realty Services), 100 Clark Street has traded hands. I expressed an interest in this property at a lower price point than what is being reported as the sale price – $1,250,000. The reason I was comfortable at a lower dollar amount had to do with the number and type of encumbrances on the property and its current condition – half demolished and therefore effectively a land purchase.  When the property was most recently being marketed for sale there were a number of liens from the city in place and the three tenants that had to move out prior to NYC DOB ordering a partial demolition still had open claims regarding their displacement and right to occupy their former apartments.  So the total price to acquire may indeed be higher than $1.25M. 

It is hard to determine the exact cost to remove these encumbrances but for illustrative purposes let’s say it will cost the new owner $400,000 to address these issues.  That makes the price to acquire the half-demolished multi-family property $1,650,000, or $207 per buildable square foot (based on the reported available square footage of 7,976, which is the pre-existing building size, non-conforming). And while I understand the property is protected by a landmark designation I do believe it will need to be taken down in order to build new so another $50,000 for demolition needs to be folded into the price in order to establish a land price – $1,700,000, or $213 per buildable square foot.

$213 per buildable square foot is not a bad starting point.  It is approximately 15% less than $250 per buildable square foot, the peak of land value pricing (to the extent it can be determined in such a thinly traded market) back in 2007.  If the developer manages the permitting process (DOB and LPC) well then there is some room for profit after making the necessary investment in a new residential building of a quality the market demands.  If not, then the going-in price doesn’t look so good for the new owner.

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Have We Hit Bottom in Multi-Family Sales?

Flickr/Koos_Fernhout

We are investors and developers of residential real estate and therefore pay close attention to the local Brooklyn multi-family market. Sales volume has dropped significantly as compared to turnover between 2005 and 2007, what we think of as the peak years. According to Massey Knakal’s First Half 2010 report volume for all property types Brooklyn-wide is projected to be approximately 0.82% of total building stock and perhaps significantly less in early 2011 as capital gains and inheritance taxes are scheduled to be increased. This would effectively steal some volume from first quarter 2011 and roll it forward into the last quarter of 2010. Bob Knakal touches on this in his recent blog post, one of the more sober observations of current market conditions I have seen him make.

Our local, brownstone Brooklyn, observation is that inventory is indeed very thin–accounting for the lack of sales–and some smaller multi-family properties are being positioned as redevelopment opportunities–i.e. condo conversions. While this is nothing new, we think current pricing doesn’t reflect the absence of the lending market that allows developers/investors to execute such transactions. Furthermore, asking prices for redevelopment opportunities are verbally being pinned to one local sale. One sale is not an indicator of market value. It is also our observation that competition for multi-family investment, even the kind that is presently cash flow positive, is light. The only multi-family properties that appear to be performing well in regard to demand are the ones that work as owner-occupied, two to four family buildings. It is only this segment of the market that may have found a bottom.

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Old Fashioned Face-to-Face

The new movie The Social Network depicts Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg as a visionary and a genius—and you can’t argue with his astounding business success. But the movie also presents him as a person devoid of interpersonal skills–someone who is dependent on technology to communicate.

Many of us are like Mr. Zuckerberg in some respects—we’d rather text, tweet, post or email than call or meet—it’s much easier and faster. But let’s not forget the value of face-to-face communications. Body language, facial expression, and tone of voice are often more important than the words themselves—and that can’t be conveyed through electronic communications.

I recently completed my third “Let’s Talk Real Estate” session—it’s part of our monthly series in which I sit down and talk real estate—face-to-face—with folks thinking about buying, renting, selling or renovating a home in brownstone Brooklyn. Participants have found these complimentary sessions to be “honest,” “straightforward,” and “helpful” as they consider their next step.

Please stop by our next session of “Let’s Talk Real Estate”this month we’re trying a new time and venue—Tuesday, October 19, from 6 – 8 p.m., at the Brooklyn Wine Exchange. I hope you’ll join us there–for some good old fashioned face-to-face.

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